Earthquake induced slope failure hazard - Wellington 1995

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  • Published Date Wed 01 Mar 1995
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Purpose of the report to assess the risk of slope failures triggered by earthquakes in Wellington and support regional planning and hazard mitigation.

Geographic area covered: Wellington, Wellington Region, New Zealand. 

This report, prepared by P.A. Kingsbury for the Wellington Regional Council, outlines the potential for earthquake-induced slope failures in Kāpiti. It accompanies a hazard map that categorises areas based on their susceptibility to slope failure during seismic events. The study is part of a broader regional initiative to understand and mitigate earthquake hazards, which also includes assessments of fault rupture, ground shaking, liquefaction, and tsunami risks. 
 
The report identifies five slope failure susceptibility zones—ranging from very low to very high—and evaluates how these zones might respond to three earthquake scenarios. These scenarios include a distant magnitude 7 earthquake (Scenario 1), a regional earthquake of moderate intensity (Intermediate Scenario), and a local magnitude 7.5 earthquake on the Wellington Fault (Scenario 2). The likelihood of these events occurring within the next 50 years varies from very high (Scenario 1) to low (Scenario 2). 
 
Slope failures can occur immediately during shaking or be triggered later by aftershocks or heavy rainfall. The most vulnerable areas are steep slopes, modified slopes such as road and quarry cuts, and locations with historical landslides. The report explains that slope angle and modification are the most critical factors influencing susceptibility. Other contributing factors include geology, slope height, groundwater conditions, and the presence of existing landslides. 
 
The methodology used to assess hazard involved compiling factor maps, assigning weighted values to slope characteristics, and integrating these into a susceptibility rating. These ratings were then mapped to show potential slope failure zones. The report emphasises that while the maps are useful for regional planning, they are not a substitute for site-specific geotechnical investigations. 
 
Limitations of the study include the generalised nature of the geological data, the indicative boundaries of hazard zones, and the exclusion of liquefaction-related slope failures, which are covered in a separate study. The report also notes that susceptibility ratings are specific to the Wellington Region and should not be compared directly with hazard maps from other regions. 

Wellington context: Wellington has widespread slope modifications due to urban development, particularly in hilly suburbs like Karori and Ngaio, and along major transport routes including SH1 and the urban motorway. The geology is dominated by greywacke bedrock with a thin cover of colluvium and loess, and includes steep colluvial fans along the Wellington Fault. Notable landslides include Gold’s Slide and ancient slides on Mt Victoria and Tinakori Hill. These factors, along with steep terrain and extensive cuts, contribute to high susceptibility in many parts of the city. 

Updated November 3, 2025 at 12:06 PM